Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.972949 3.298571 3.650690 4.060680 4.526082 5.039283 5.649828
2025-04-20 2.493321 2.929092 3.433244 4.063127 4.833879 5.752477 6.939384
2025-04-27 2.224699 2.726905 3.338109 4.144044 5.189668 6.515377 8.347466
2025-05-04 2.032165 2.577352 3.268633 4.221445 5.519506 7.253939 9.794425
2025-05-11 1.871371 2.442303 3.191710 4.264491 5.789124 7.922374 11.213622
2025-05-18 1.736897 2.323943 3.118179 4.293847 6.029132 8.560654 12.657519
2025-05-25 1.576982 2.153769 2.953953 4.172084 6.028467 8.835045 13.568974
2025-06-01 1.462265 2.035779 2.850371 4.123735 6.124413 9.254987 14.753008
2025-06-08 1.368480 1.939353 2.768124 4.096211 6.243887 9.716536 16.057705
2025-06-15 1.329070 1.918910 2.795163 4.236801 6.641109 10.668945 18.344144
2025-06-22 1.255913 1.841565 2.728465 4.220258 6.774043 11.183874 19.902577
2025-06-29 1.184262 1.761183 2.650347 4.176730 6.853791 11.609326 21.344960
2025-07-06 1.079927 1.624631 2.476307 3.963060 6.623467 11.462487 21.664228
2025-07-13 1.030798 1.572780 2.435320 3.972587 6.792928 12.077187 23.639548
2025-07-20 0.999578 1.547491 2.435551 4.052795 7.098471 12.986430 26.391755
2025-07-27 0.969886 1.522476 2.433897 4.128466 7.401651 13.926087 29.375573
2025-08-03 0.936555 1.489042 2.415119 4.170451 7.642363 14.765744 32.277952
2025-08-10 0.903511 1.453900 2.390647 4.199055 7.858068 15.577509 35.262036
2025-08-17 0.849848 1.380086 2.293067 4.080450 7.760533 15.693633 36.509151
2025-08-24 0.811081 1.330082 2.234925 4.033349 7.806861 16.135077 38.685626
2025-08-31 0.777995 1.288276 2.189018 4.006536 7.893268 16.677997 41.240908
2025-09-07 0.769773 1.290334 2.223711 4.143492 8.349647 18.151713 46.727039
2025-09-14 0.741480 1.254422 2.185090 4.127377 8.462491 18.806190 49.957100